raymondu999 wrote:Agreed with everything Beelsebob said.
The D-spec Red Bull is too much of an unknown to truly judge yet. After all we've only seen it for one race. The F2012 was good in Barcelona, but the latest exhaust iteration has only got mileage in Canada and Valencia - both traction-straight-braking circuits. It will be interesting to see how both fare here.
I wonder though - how much will the track surface and the long lateral loadings help to put the cars who don't go to well in cold (the Red Bulls/Lotuses) put more energy in the tyres? I remember in 2011 Suzuka - even in a Ferrari that was rubbish in cold, and rubbish on hard/medium tyres, Fernando was the happiest on the circuit on the hard tyres as the lateral energies put through the tyre just helped the tyre warmup massively.
It depends if they can put enough energy into the tyres to heat them through the core or if they just slide about over-heating the surface.
I guess it'll come down to how well McLaren's rumoured upgrades work out of the box and if they lose crucial setup time over testing them out. Looking at the calendar the next few races should all suit the McLaren car to a degree so hopefully it'll remain close at the top.
Edit: Interesting fact, in qualifying Vettel was only third fastest through sector three with both Maldonado and Hamilton being quicker. Even Button managed to be fifth quickest! This is the section with the high speed turns.