If he had been on the blue line - the ideal racing line - it would indicate he had no prior inclination of an attack from Vettel. If you suspect an attack, you almost always compromise your line in order to defend.Phil wrote: ↑Tue Oct 09, 2018 4:55 pmTurbo, you definitely win on the picture part, no arguments there. BUT; I just wanted to say one thing about my picture: I wasn't trying to show that Vettel would have gone straight. Understanding the proper context is crucial. As I wrote when I posted that illustration;
I drew the ideal racing line (the blue one) which Verstappen was on. The ideal racing line has a distinct advantage; It's the fastest way around a corner with the least amount of turn in (larger radius) and the least amount of deceleration/acceleration (highest cornering speed). It means losing less time on acceleration.
Anything other than the racing line is a compromised line. If you take the corner tighter, you will have to make a compromise in the form of a much lower apex speed in order to make the bend. Again, the red line (Vettels line) is Verstappens line but from the inside. I wanted to illustrate how momentum of taking the same speed at a tighter angle would have carried him out of the corner. Indeed it would have, which is why Vettel would have needed to decelerate more. This is how we end up with your illustration. In order for Vettel to have made the corner according to your illustration, he would have had to drive slower than Verstappen as a result of the tighter radius. If he was already ever so slightly behind Max at the point of impact (= before the apex), he most certainly would have fallen even more behind Max if he wanted to take the line you drew for him.
Hence my point earlier; Even if Max had left more room, by the sheer fact of being that bit further ahead and the fact Vettel would have had to decelerate more for the tighter radius he was on would have meant he would have been behind Max and in a compromised position, hence the overtake wasn't going to happen if or if not Max had given more space.
The only way Vettel would have pulled off that overtake is if he had been completely alongside Max or indeed just that bit further ahead of him before hitting the apex. Then he could have outmaneuvered Max to the outside and forced Max to back out / brake and concede position.
In reality, I don't think Verstappen was on the ideal line. In the approach to Spoon he was nowhere near the outer edge of the circuit at any point. Prior to turning into the apex an entire car's width is available to his right (refer to onboard).
So your diagram is inaccurate (IMO). Verstappen had positioned his car in a compromised position, indicating he sensed he was vulnerable.
The more I look at Verstappen's onboard, the more I think he changed his intent. Initially he thinks he's safe; then he changes his mind, by which time events have already unfolded beyond his control. Its his indecision, coupled with the decisiveness of Vettel, that led to an accident.