First off, that comment wasn't anything against you. Hope that is clear.atanatizante wrote: ↑Wed Mar 13, 2019 6:26 pmI don`t think flash cards could be used as an example first for being like comparing apples to oranges but I understand what you mean ...
There are many tech people in F1 - Andy Cowell is one of them - which says there`s a law of diminishing returns for PU but they don`t get into specifics (ERS, ICE or both?)
Anyway, the main question is the following: what could be the main/biggest differentiator factor this year between Merc, Ferrari and Red Bull, a factor which could give the winning team an edge from the other two teams?
In the interview where Andy Cowell talks about diminishing returns, he also talks about intelligent people finding better technical ways to enhance the performance and pushing the borders.
Red Bull is not in the championship hunt. No matter how anyone puts it, Honda doesn't have it in them to build a PU that could compete with Merc and Ferrari. They are just too far behind. Except for 2011, Red Bull is yet to start a season with a strong car. Their development is generally is more aggressive in the second part of the season, where both Merc and Ferrari would start thinking about next year's car and start planning resource reallocation.
Some people are looking at their winter testing race pace and thinking they can win races. But if they always start the race behind Merc and Ferrari, there is no way they can win races if things go normal for both. Just to give a scale of understanding, Toro Rosso, using a new Honda PU in abu dhabi last year, were 9 tenths behind Merc in Sector 2 alone in qualifying, which is all about power. Considering STR had way less downforce than Merc, if that was how poor they were, imagine Merc level of downforce on that STR and they could have been closer to 2 seconds in that sector. Whereas Hulkenberg's Renault was around half a second behind in that sector. Red Bull was 3 tenth behind Mercedes in that Sector. Theoretically, If Red Bull was running that Honda PU in that event, they would have been around 6 to 7 tenths down on Merc in Sector 2 (just a guess). That was the Spec 3 Honda PU, which had gained half a second over the course of the season. Merc and Ferrari's Spec 3 came in Spa. You can imagine the development that these two would have completed from August last year to February this year.
Honda has a mountain to climb in terms of being on par with Merc and Ferrari, which I don't think is going to happen anytime sooner. The amount of bragging RB and Honda are on about themselves, is what any new couple would do. Nothing new about that.
Ferrari's biggest challenge is to develop the car in season, which is a big question mark yet. That could be the differentiating factor between Merc and Ferrari.