"IF" there were more laps, the strategy from the beginning would have been different. Another 5 laps? Who knows it would have been a two stopper (57 laps) and could have played out totally differently? As much as Valtteri got lucky on the penultimate lap, Vettel was lucky that Valtteri was stuck behind Magnussen and Kvyat for far too long to lose 7 tenths a second for 4 laps, while Vettel was chasing him in clean air. As soon as Valtteri passed the back markers on blue flags, they continued to let Vettel go at the same pace. Vettel did not lose as much time behind backmarkers as Valtteri did. Mercedes was 8 MPH faster on the speed traps than Ferrari and throughout the race, Mercedes was faster in S1, so I doubt if Vettel could have come close enough to make a move. Even if Vettel would come side by side, I bet Valtteri would have gone on the inside line to cover the Corner 2.wesley123 wrote: ↑Thu May 04, 2017 8:06 amValtteri got lucky with the traffic, Vettel lost just enough time to make it another lap.SR71 wrote: ↑Wed May 03, 2017 11:01 pmDoes everyone really believe that had Sochi been another 5 laps Vettel wouldn't have made an overpass attempt or 2 because the air was too dirty?
Would he have made the pass work? Who knows, but FOR SURE he would have made an attempt once he and Valteri cleared traffic.
It depends on which way you want to look at it and associate luck with. I think Vettel was lucky to come so close, while Valtteri made mistake and stuck behind backmarkers, while he had similar speed as that of Vettel.
What we have seen from last year, where the downforce levels were much lower than what they are today, even being half a second quicker wouldn't have allowed you to overtake, unless the pace difference was like 2 seconds. This year, though the downforce levels are higher, but the tyres seems to be having less thermal degradation characteristics than last year, allowing the cars to run closer. Then again, drag levels have increased and will continue to make the cars slower on the straight (relative to last year, not on absolute speed numbers), hence, unless the chasing car is around 2 seconds faster, I don't see how anyone can make a pass stick. Of course, other than dive bombs.