I don't follow your point sorry.Tommy Cookers wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:25 pmthe age demographic in Africa ?nzjrs wrote: ↑Thu Jan 07, 2021 11:43 am
aran.vtec forgot the demographic most predictive of Covid risk - age.... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_c ... _structure (sort by over 65).
This reminds me of the old statistical reasoning fallacy best exemplified by the observation that 'height is not correlated with basketball success (in the NBA)'
edit: not to imply age is the sole cause - there are many risk factors and measurement effects
populations increase by adding young people not by adding old people
the UK proclaims treating the '50+' aged (and the younger with underlying conditions)
that's 30 million so 60 million vaccinations
(all what follow is normalized by population obviously)
Mine was something like - if one claims 'poor countries are doing better than wealthy countries', a common response is 'it depends on how well you are measuring that aka how and what are you testing', which is more or less what DC said and I agree. FWIW if the absolute number of tests is less, to compare between countries the positive-test-percentage is IMO a better proxy.
Putting that aside, and looking at one of the 'testing independent' numbers that poorer countries can hopefully keep statistics on can therefor be better. One such number is simply the number of excess deaths. Given that the best predictor of risk is age, if those countries with a higher old-people proportion of the population are registering more excess deaths with Covid, that could be at least in part due to there simply being more elderly in the population.
That assumes of course that elderly are more likely to die if they contract covid, which BigTea seems to disagree with?