Tue Nov 16, 2010 8:53 pm
I don't think it was that much a poor strategy for Ferrari, rather than a very smart strategy for Red Bull.
At that stage of the race that Webber and Alonso went in the pits, no one really knew how long the soft tires would last. It has been reported that Bridgestone estimated they would last for about 20 laps. There were talks during the whole weekend about excessive graining, and some even predicted the race would unfold in a similar way to the Canadian GP, some expected 2 stop strategies. With the track position Webber had, on a long track as Abu Dhabi, it did seem the smart thing to do at that moment: if the tires started going away really badly he would lose even more time and would not have any chance of overtaking Alonso. From Alonso's point of view, he was falling behind Vettel, and at that stage he really needed to cover Mark Webber. Had the tires indeed kept getting worse and worse, these two would gain time and positions back. In retrospect, it is easy to say it was the wrong decision, but at the time it seemed fairly reasonable.
From Red Bull's point of view, they knew that they had two drivers capable of winning the WDC: the one thing everybody thought was their weakness turned out to be their greatest advantage. With the track positions in mind they realized they were in a win-win situation, as it would be impossible for Alonso to cover both their drivers and both scenarios with regards to the tires. The only worry for Vettel at that stage was Hamilton. If the tires got worse lap after lap, pitting Webber before Alonso would give him an advantage, and a chance of overtaking Alonso during the pit stops. If not, that would give Vettel an advantage. Since Webber was that far back, it was the obvious choice to pit him first. The rest is history.
Ferrari were really screwed by the safety car, but that's racing. Had Alonso managed to stay in front of Button and keep up with Vettel and Hamilton, things could have been different. But he didn't. Unfortunately for them, the title was decided in a track where overtaking proved to be much harder than they thought. Alonso was overdriving, trying everything he could to get by Petrov. Still, he couldn't risk a collision, as Vettel might have had a reliability issue even on the last corner, that would immediately gift Alonso the WDC.
The most merciful thing in the world, I think, is the inability of the human mind to correlate all its contents. H.P.Lovecraft