So far, in evaluating driver performances in 2009, on my F1 Stats blog ‘Making Up The Numbers
’ we have looked at Finishing Positions
, Qualifying Performance
and Fastest Laps
. Now we have finally arrived at the last category – Driver Consistency
. I shall summarise the post here and you can click the link if you want to read more…
This is a subject which is particularly interesting to me, because I have been analysing this for most of the year. If you are new to this blog, why not catch up on some of these posts by clicking here
? Also, if you need reminding on how these figures are calculated, please click here
. Please note that no allowances have been made for differences between teams here and if you want a closer look at the charts, you can click on them for a larger version
What I aim to do in this post is to present a series of charts. The first two will split the field based on average rankings for 2009. These are calculated by calculating a ranking for each driver based on his average lap time, summing all the races they competed in 2009 and then taking an average ranking. So let’s have a look then:
It is definitely not true that the fastest driver is the most consistent here! But a few points of note first – I have included drivers who did not run a complete season, which will skew the results a bit as consistency is affected by changes in conditions. If a driver does not run a complete season they may not experience these effects and therefore may appear better than they are.
Having noted that, we cannot conclude that Kobayashi was the most consistent driver – however impressive his performances for the last two races were! However, we do have a surprise winner in Fisichella (for Force India), who did not have a great season.
Does the most consistent performance imply he drove well or just that the car was a safe and sturdy drive?
Kimi Raikkonen finishes high up but as he is supposed to be known for his consistency I thought he would have done better, personally.
Also, Barrichello beats Button by nearly half a place – probably due to Button’s mysterious dip in form mid season.
Heidfeld ranks quite far down the order, which is very surprising considering he finished something like 42 races on the trot. I thought that would mean he is quite a steady driver, but apparently not according to this. Well, he gets beaten by Piquet, so that cannot be a good thing!
It is interesting that pretty much all of the field average between 7th and tenth, which mean that most drivers must be remarkably consistent. It’s only when we get to the back of the grid that the curve starts to rise almost exponentially.
But what do these graphs really mean? Well, before I have a go at evaluating the driver’s total performance (that will be the next post), I thought this would be the last piece in the puzzle. I can already see how this could be a flawed way of evaluating a driver performance though – it takes no account of car performance, which as we have seen in races this year, can vary over the course of a race or even over a stint.
Indeed, I have noticed this fact when comparing drivers for certain posts I have written, such as this graph
for a post about Badoer
or this one
for a post about Hamilton Vs. Barrichello
. You can see on these graphs that even consistent drivers don’t hit their laps spot on every time, and there are so many different variables at work here that we cannot expect that.
I guess what we cannot see on this data is whether the driver was giving 100% or not. That is a place where the numbers simply cannot go. But it’s fun to speculate, so please do so in the comments… P.S. – I plan to do a ranking of all the drivers based on a weighted scoring system – If you have any ideas on what percentages I should use, please leave a comment. The categories will be those used to review the drivers, which were:
1. Average Finishing Position
2. Qualifying Performance
3. Fastest Laps
4. Driver Consistency (This Post)
I thought of doing 50-25-5-20. Let me know what numbers you would use and I will try and include them
//Gavin Brown (RubberGoat)http://f1numbers.wordpress.com/