2024 pecking order predictions

[KimiRai]

This is quite a good prediction for the race.

Really? I do not see it that way it was... meh

[chrisc90]

Interesting reading the first few pages of this topic again after 7 races in.

[PlatinumZealot]

Aston has fallen behind Mercedes. Haas and RB knocking on their doors now.

Race pace my timing
RedBull + 0.0
McLaren + 0.2
Ferrari + 0.3
Mercedes + 0.5
Aston Martin + 0.7
RB + 0.8
Haas + 0.9
Williams + 1.0
Alpine + 1.2
Sauber +1.3

[bananapeel23]

Aston has fallen behind Mercedes. Haas and RB knocking on their doors now.

Race pace my timing
RedBull + 0.0
McLaren + 0.2
Ferrari + 0.3
Mercedes + 0.5
Aston Martin + 0.7
RB + 0.8
Haas + 0.9
Williams + 1.0
Alpine + 1.2
Sauber +1.3

Both of the last two races had the best Ferrari or McLaren driver faster than, or within 1.5 tenths of Red Bull. McLaren is certainly not +0.2 if the last 2 races are anything to go by. Hell, even Ferrari is closer than that. These last two races really seem to suggest that all of the top 3 teams are so close together that they any of them could win if the track suits them even slightly better than the competition or a driver finds really good form at a certain track.

Red Bull + 0.0
McLaren + 0.03
Ferrari + 0.125

Assuming the last 2 races are a fluke you might get something closer to what you're suggesting, but then you would also need Ferrari ahead of McLaren.

[Silent Storm]

Closer than anyone imagined...

[Sieper]

Max already has been very unlucky with an exploding rear brakedrum causing a DNF. Leclerc could at least still finish the race where he had brake issues.

[PlatinumZealot]

Closer than anyone imagined...

There are effectively four formulas that's why. Formula 1 (RedBull during the first six races), Formula 1.5 - McLaren and Ferrari. Formula 2 (Mercedes, Aston, RB, Haas) and Formula 3... the rest. Because of this all of the top points are shared between the same top 3 teams and the rest are more of a volatile finishing order.