Well, just a few days away from first practice when we begin the see where teams are in their 2017 journey and pecking order.
I think the front three are obvious although the exact proximity to one another is harder to fathom.
Mercedes definitely sandbagged in my view but Vettels teaser lap showed Ferrari do have at least half a second in their pocket so they will be very competitive in Melbourne. Red Bull developed very steadily and incrementally over the 8 days and I think they have a tonne of pace in that car if Renault PU can run reliably out of the blocks. Their pace was encouraging given how conservatively they ran all week.
The next two I think could be surprise packages. Renault have made a massive step from last year and their car looked nice. However look out for Toro Rosso early, who have designed a beautiful car which was again gradually improving like it's Red Bull sister. The real surprise package with Sainz in it.
4) Toro Rosso
Force India and Williams in my view have their work cut out. They have the best customer power unit available but ultimately these teams have not been reknown for great aero these past two years. They look vulnerable to the smart aero cookies but will be strong at certain tracks. It will be interesting to see them battle Toro Rosso and Renault.
It is hard to place McLaren really. We don't actually know their pace but until they prove otherwise, we have to assume they cannot finish a race distance.
Haas and Sauber look pants though really. The Haas has brake issues and Sauber has an under par power unit. If McLaren run reliably their car has more about its aero to beat them and if Honda remember how to make an engine they may even challenge for Row 4. But that's another story. Haas will find it hard in their first development race and they will be stronger next year for the experience.