The roll center can as you certainly know be calculated "geometrically". However I would recommend to forget the classic approach of drawing lines through links because that does only work well for 2D suspensions (Experts divide suspensions in 3 types - 2D, 2,5D and 3D or "plane", "spherical" & "3 Dimensional") and not so well for multi-link suspensions.
In my opinion it is better to determine the Roll Center Height geometrically via the line that starts out of the "normal" vector to the "lateral contact patch displacement curve over wheel travel" (=trackwidth change @ contact patch over wheel travel) in any given vertical position.
Now the roll center defines as we also know the momentary point of rotation of the front suspension (left & right) which means from a mechanical point of view, that the resultant of all contact patch forces must point into that direction (sum of moments = 0 --> Resulting Force hits point of rotation). Based on this fact one can establish the "force based roll center" out of delta increase in vertical load and delta increase in lateral load . On a K&C rig (kinematics and compliance rig) one usually executes both measurements but since for a pure vertical motion the loads in the suspension links are in general lower than in a combined vertical & lateral load case the effect of "camber compliances" on the "contact patch lateral displacement curve" is hardly affecting the results of the geometric measurement but will affect the results of the force measurement.
In the many K & C test that I have executed I have always found the force based roll center higher than geometric roll center and the stiffer the suspension was in lateral camber compliance the less the difference in roll center height was between the two methods. Beyond that, even when the geometric roll centers were below ground the force based were always above. I am sure one could investigate more on this topic

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I would certainly agree with you on your initial thoughts and see the mechanism as a combination of "forced" geometric changes to the lateral contact patch curve (including of course all effects of link deflections) combined with the effect of the restoring MX moment on the contact patch and the corresponding change in vertical force. I am pretty sure however, that the camber compliance factor can be seen as a factor that the "driving" car will see/affect whilst with respect to MX effects of the tire I have some serious doubts on the actual behavior of the tire under rolling conditions in real life vs. a static rig test. Food for thought indeed
Sorry for being a bit long, but it might give other people also a chance to follow the topic.
Cheers,
dynatune,
http://www.dynatune-xl.com