marcush. wrote:I might be confused at times but still one team (Brawn/Mercedes)got it very right for 2009 but dropped the ball significantly for 2010...
Are you sure they got it right for 2009? I think their secret in 2009 was the best DDD combined with the best Aero of all DDD cars (Thus their advantage over Toyota and Williams). I remember Button weaving a lot even in the race to get / keep heat into the tires. I think that shows that they never got the tires to work properly.
On Topic: I doubt that the Pirelli will be much different in terms of feeling or grip they offer. Wear and temps might differ a bit, but those who had tire probs in 2010 will have tire probs in 2011 if they'd just bolt on the Pirellis.
Additionally I believe the RedBulls to have the best base to work on for 2011, their 2009 contender was pretty damn good for a non DDD car and I'm sure AN will find a way to package the KERS appropriately. (It would be interesting to know what weight ratio RedBull had in 2009 and 2010)
Second to the RedBulls might the MGPs, longer development time and hopefully the right conclusions from 2010 + MSC development input can put them back at the front.
McLaren will have a hard time to find some pace as in 2009 they only became quick after the introduction of their DDD....and so will Ferrari. Their 2009 contender was really bad and it will be interesting to see if they can convert anything from their 2010 performance into a non DDD car.
Lastly, Renault with a clean sheet design will be the ones that either get it massively right and end up challenging at the front, or they'll just get a normal car which is running for 4th - 7th places.