I agree with your synopsis. Except this:
WhiteBlue wrote:He may say so but his reputation would get a huge hit and switching to Rally would be a conveniant way to avoid diskussing his sacking by Ferrari.
Kimi's too good a driver not to be given good offers. Even if Ferrari paid him out. Kimi may sometimes lack motivation, but he's still a world champion and a top tire driver. But, if Massa'a recovery is successful it'll likely be a Massa/Alonso pairing for 2010. If not? Then Raikkonen/Alonso.
Good luck to Massa. I really want to see him on track again.