fritticaldi wrote: ↑
Wed Jan 20, 2021 7:46 pm
Frederik Vesti from Denmark has been signed to the Mercedes F1 junior program. Perhaps a Russell/Vesti line-up in 2023?
First and foremost it's key what Hamilton does with Mercedes.
I don't believe that there's any chance that they won't go on for the forthcoming 4 F1 seasons,
so that would leave Hamilton with Merc through 2021, 2022, 2023 and 2024.
The only seat 'available' will become that of Bottas as of 2022, and ONLY if Bottas is going to suddenly do a Rosberg and become WDC for 2021, which i extremely doubt to the fullest, he'll have a chance beyond 2021 @ Mercedes.
It's more probable that Bottas leaves F1 after the 2021 season.
The 2022 onwards Merc seat then will become interesting for a variety of drivers, but i think Russell is the driver on the absolute nr1 spot, both from his own motivation as that of Mercedes themselves.
The only two, PERHAPS three other drivers i could see end up there are Verstappen, Vettel, and perhaps Schumi jr, but that's a reaaaaaaalllly long shot imho.
It depends thus on how 2021 will unfold in regards to
A) how Vettel will fare under Aston Martin.
B) Whether RedBull can give Verstappen a WDC capable car
C) Mick flying or drowning
After all, Vettel now signed with Aston-Martin Mercedes, despite having a multi-year deal, could be a 'easier' way to be the new German at the German brand.
That way, Vettel gets to Merc and Russell goes to Aston.
Still, i think it's more likely two brits : Hamilton & Russell will end up @ Merc above anything else.
Verstappen stays a very worthwile shot, however, he's a bit fiery and could really cause some inter-team mayhem.
Micky boy could be interesting though. Yes, he belongs to the 'Ferrari camp', but If -despite there is no sign to this- for some reason Micky Schumey is able to do Senna & Micheal like wonders from the get-go, he'll essentially demand a top seat. That makes him the most wanted driver in the field, since he's carrying that legendary name aswell.
So if Ferrari does not decide to quickly boot either Leclerc or poor old Sainz to quickly help him out,
then I can see one of the top teams making a swift grab.
Mercedes, 'accidentally', has a seat available for 2022, and if baby Schumi is any good, then i see no reason to why they wouldn't hastily ditch Boring Bottas for that legendary GERMAN name.
So, in the case of Frederik Vesti, i ONLY see even remotely a chance for him on a F1 seat if Russell gets promoted.
Whether that be Aston, Mercedes or perhaps Mclaren is another story. Only then, the 2nd Williams seat which could be seen as the 'lesser, third, Mercedes seat', will become available for Vesti.
Itll be a Latifi/Vesti, it definately won't be a Russell/Vesti.
Since you are mentioning 2023, Vesti - regardless of his potential - could be one of those drivers in the wrong nick of time. I find it very hard to believe Russell is going to stay another year with Williams after 2021.
This means 2022, a seat opens up @ Williams. This MIGHT be too early for Vesti though. If he performs well and snatches a SL, he could be promoted there though. However, if 2022 is too early, then that second seat @ Williams will disappear to another contender, and the biggest question after that is: will Latifi stay or will Latifi go?
The 2nd seat @ Williams for 2022 would most likely end up in the hands of 1) Jack Aitken or 2) Roy Nissany.
And that leaves Vesti to go where? Nowhere, really.