LM10 wrote: ↑
Tue Feb 25, 2020 11:27 am
Restomaniac wrote: ↑
Tue Feb 25, 2020 11:10 am
Milan is in lock down Monza is only a short distance away.
Now I know it’s months away but if as they expect a vaccine is not going to be available until the end of the year can we expect this to magically disappear or is Milan and that region in major trouble?
You don’t need magic for a viral epidemic to disappear at some point. Influenza appears and disappears every year. The wave of Coronavirus is prognosed to decrease when the temperatures rise.
Exactly, increasing temperature (and humidity) should reduce the lifetime of the virus considerably, so by the time some of the currently problematic regions (monza, vietnam) are visited, things should be better (actually, maybe the same applies to Shanghai. That place tends to be hot as hell in summer - but there the decision is already taken). So I wouldn't be too worried about it.
And if you are, well, you can be worried about any race - because why would the current hotbeds of infection represent those in a couple of weeks/months?
Every GP could be under threat by the time we're there, but hopefully by that time the virus is already in decline.