Until testing, picking the top team is going to be a bit of a lottery, so much changes next year there is huge scope for teams to get things right, or wrong
Merc & Redbull have to remain favourites, their teams are at the top of their game and by a big margin, their only weakness is they have been focused on fighting for the championship, so could be behind the curve, but I doubt they have lost site of 22
McLaren & Ferrari have both bounced back strongly. Ferrari need to get on top of their PU and they will be fighting at the top again, while McLaren don’t have that worry as I think Merc will fully support them in that respect again this year, they need other teams in the mix with RB to take points from them again.
AM have made some great signings and will also have Merc support, but i think with all that they have going on, 22 is probably too soon for them to be top, they need time to gel
Alpine have made some big changes, and claimed to have been concentrating on the new regs for a very long time, only time will tell, but I suspect others will do better, for now
AT have had some very good results this year, and the Honda PU is certainly performing well, they have every chance of being the dark horse (but we’ve herd that many times before), still… what are the chances of them (being allowed to) beating RB?
Alpha, William, Haas, unlikely to make the big leap just now