One thing I will caveat my comment with is Red Bull seem to carry a shade more rear downforce than McLaren currently which would make them appear to be stronger in those circumstances.
I personally think that’s what happened in Imola, which allowed Verstappen to have his commanding win- more rear DF, faster in the high speed corners, more DF meant he had less slip in those high speed corners which kept his deg under control.
I’m fully confident in McLaren- they certainly know more than me but they have only ran a spoon rear wing of some sort all season so far and I can’t help but feel a little more rear DF would change the picture slightly.
I’ve said before, I’m really looking forward to see the competitive picture when the full DF rear wings go on- I might be disappointed with the perforce when they do but that’s F1. As for Monaco- any driver from Red Bull, McLaren, Mercedes or Ferrari can win that race because it’s so unique.