mwillems wrote: ↑05 Mar 2026, 21:05
SmallSoldier wrote: ↑05 Mar 2026, 20:52
FittingMechanics wrote: ↑05 Mar 2026, 16:38
I really hope McLaren is strong in Melbourne and especially during the year. Many (drivers and pundits) are ignoring McLaren, only talking about Mercedes, Ferrari and Red Bull.
Most Pundits don’t know more than most fans do… And we (the fans) know very little…
In 2024, most Pundits / Journalists had McLaren finishing 4th or 5th after pre-season testing… We won the WCC that year
The pundits are only talking about the season start, to be fair. They will have contacts in the paddock.
But, teams can still hide very well. If you were going to suggest the team.in the top 4 best at keeping quiet, Mclaren would be a good option.
And those contacts in the paddock are also playing the game… Only points is, take what pundits say with a grain of salt… Recency bias plays a big factor, In 2019 some pundits placed McLaren as P9 after testing and they finished in a comfortable P4 all because 2018 was a horrid year for McLaren, it had nothing to do with their performance on-track after testing… As recent as in 2022, McLaren was initially placed “in the top 4” (coming of the heals of a solid 2021 and topping the lap times on Day 1, 2022 wasn’t a great year for McLaren, even beaten by Alpine in the standings.
But even more important than Recency Bias, it has to do with “clicks”, what can drive a conversation, what can generate more engagement… Every regulation change Ferrari is poised to dominate and finally get back to winning WCC’s (happened after testing in 2022)… We can already see the themes this season so far… Ferrari back at the front and with potentially the strongest car, Mercedes back to the front now that we are out of a set of regulation they didn’t nail… Red Bull potential champion, because Max.
Are McLaren left out of the conversation? Yes, McLaren themselves have done a great job of taking themselves out of it, no major upgrades for Melbourne, having the most “complete” car in Barcelona testing (therefore arguably a month or two behind in development compared to those bringing upgrades late in testing or to Melbourne) and overall managing expectations (they didn’t really went for fast laps in testing, the race simulations seem to be running to a target and didn’t blow anyone away.
I just hope they are indeed in the top 4, because as long as they are in within striking distance, they have a chance to be at the top… Should be a fun season