Hmmm looks like whatever we expect this season, the opposite (good or bad) always happens

that said, not going to overreact now - they ran in conservative engine modes on Friday both of the most recent normal (ie non sprint) Fridays and that could ship a lot of lap time here. Let’s see how it shakes out in qualifying, but certainly not where we want to be right now.
Edit some more context down the race:
https://www.the-race.com/formula-1/belg ... -analysis/
Ferrari remains the big unknown as Charles Leclerc was only a lap into his long run when the red flag was flown, while Lewis Hamilton hadn’t even properly started his. Its single-lap pace wasn’t great, but there have been plenty of underwhelming Fridays that have turned into very good Saturdays and Sundays for Ferrari.
Team boss Fred Vasseur also pointed to another big variable on Friday at Spa - vastly different energy deployment strategies.
“Without disclosing any secret, but if you have a look on the race trace, we were 20km/h slower than some of our competitors before Les Combes, but we were 20km/h faster in the last straight line,” Vasseur said.
“It's a trade-off for sure. It's not that you can do a plus 20[km/h] and plus 20[km/h].”