You have nothing to base that on - McLaren have proven you wrong in all three races so far although it remains to be seen how good their quali pace is. They've made a step forward and it looks like they have another for the next race. At the same time they're one of the few teams that don't need to faff around with their mirrors and readjust the rest of the aero package.segedunum wrote:I'm afraid they're not. McLaren have managed to offset a lot of their deficit with their F-duct system and by gaining a reasonable amount of time with a straight line speed advantage to the tune of a few tenths. We've been at tracks so far where gaining significant time via a straight line speed advantage works, and that even works in Australia. When we get to high downforce places like Barcelona, Silverstone and many of the European tracks that advantage starts to disappear versus the number of high speed corners where they are losing time.Poleman wrote:I dont quite think that McLaren will need any luck to catch up with the RedBull. They started matching their pace already.
You predicted that they'd be found out in Malaysia, pace wise, and you were wrong. Hamilton was easily faster than the Ferrari's, and whilst it was hard to judge whether they would have been able to defeat the Red Bulls they definitely had at least the second fastest car on that track.
You weren't doing too bad up until that point, but McLaren are easily the measure of Mercedes and based on the last two races I think they're ever so slightly ahead of the Ferrari's as well.segedunum wrote: We'll also need to see what happens if and when other teams bring out similar systems. Ferrari certainly look as if they need it because they're having to run their engine with less power to conserve fuel, and they're not going to solve that any time soon.
I can't see what that's based on. Red Bull developed their car right throughout last year, bolted a double diffuser on to their car that wasn't designed for one and gained a lot of lap time over the course of the year. McLaren's car was so bad and so far off the pace that there were a lot of quick things they could do to gain time over the course of the year, and they learned to maximise their KERS advantage at many tracks which is where the F-duct idea probably came from.RB might have the fastest car atm but as a team is nowhere near as good at developing a car like McLaren or Ferrari is.
There were confident predictions from many around here that the natural order of the 'big two' of McLaren and Ferrari would be restored this year. Those predictions are still ongoing.
They've already proved you wrong because they're still winning this year, as they were last. It's debatable whether McLaren is even ahead of Mercedes at this point.I think they will end up preety much like Brawn from last year (in terms of development),lets wait and see if they prove us wrong.
At the moment Red Bull are fastest in qualifying, although sounds like the others are planning to address this in China, but then McLaren, Ferrari and Red Bull are pretty evenly matched in the race with Mercedes just a small bit behind.
segedunum wrote: However, let's keep this on-topic and discuss what McLaren are actually going to do to catch up and whether any developments are feasible, rather than trying to pull confident figures of 0.3 seconds per lap here and there out of thin air in order to give some people the warm fuzzy feeling that they need. That's just fan based stuff we don't need, and Ciro will wield his axe again. [-X