godlameroso wrote:25's would have them 6 seconds per lap faster than last year. I doubt we'll see that kind of speed. They're ~3.5 to 4 seconds faster than last year, so 27's most likely.
To be clear, I'm not saying 25s from the start on fat fuel , I'm saying fastest lap in the 25s.
Last year's fastest lap was a 1:28.9 and I'm certain they're going to be going more than 1 sec faster than that. I doubt if there were any race laps last year where drivers were pushing anywhere close to the maximum, whereas with the low deg we expect this year, they're likely to be pushing much more.
I don't think a fastest lap 3 secs faster than last year is unrealistic - in fact I think that's quite conservative - which is why I think it's probable that even the lap record from refuelling era could be at risk. Obviously this also partly depends on strategy though - if we get someone from the front running teams doing a two stop with fresh SS or US towards the end (like Ricciardo last year) then it becomes more likely than if people are stretching out a 1 stop and pacing themselves.