Manoah2u wrote: ↑28 Jun 2017, 09:10
Phil wrote: ↑28 Jun 2017, 00:42
I'd be highly surprised if Mercedes sign Alonso. I wouldnt see why.
Because he has been consistantly beating his teammates in the same material,
has been placing mediocre material far ahead of his teammate (hence the 'drives faster than the car is capable of sentiment'), is one of the most experienced drivers out there, is a double world champion,
is insanely fast which his indy stint simply showed, and becomes available.
Mercedes has learned well how to manage two drivers now, and is starting to see that a clear nr2 (Bottas) is not a step up from last year with Rosberg.
Also, Lewis is NOT gonna continue in F1 forever, one might argue that if he doesn't snatch the title this year, you can be damn sure he's gonna either retire or go elsewhere for another title.
So who are they going to take? Verstappen might be an option but the question remains if he's contractually free, which i believe, he is not.
So why not hire Alonso to replace Bottas, and when Verstappen is free from RedBull, they COULD sign Verstappen to replace Hamilton if he leaves to go to the Reds, which i still see happening in the short future.
There isn't enough matured talent out there that Mercedes needs. They have it in Hamilton, they need more options.
And IF at some point Renault becomes a threat - better NOT see a Renault with Alonso in it, better see a Renault with Hulkenberg or Sainz, Alonso simply IS better than either of them, better to have Alonso in your own team.
IMO, Alonso has been flattered by his team-mates. There was Piquet Jr, Massa, there was Kimi, there was Button and now there is Stoffel. Don't get me wrong, I do believe Alonso is among the most gifted F1 drivers, but his record against team-mates is only as good and telling as the team-mates he has raced against.
As I have said; it makes zero sense to sign Alonso. You may would want to sign him if you didn't have a driver of that caliber yet (Hamilton already ticks that box and he is contracted to end of 2018 for now) and you'd run the risk of going against Alonso in a team that is capable of winning against you. He doesn't have that. He is at McLaren who is unlikely to be a top 3 contender any time soon. He is also unlikely to go back to Ferrari. So Alonso, as gifted as he may be, is not a danger to Mercedes own ambition and aspirations.
Adding to that, I think Alonso has damaged himself quite dearly with the way he has conducted himself. For a team like Mercedes, image is everything. They are in the sport to promote the brand Mercedes. They do that by winning but also by marketing. I feel the public slamming Alonso has been doing of his own team (even if it is wanted by McLaren) to be not something Mercedes would want or run the risk of. Then there is also the risk of how things went back in 2007 at McLaren. Blackmailing of the team is a big no-go. (And no, I don't want to open that can of worms if it was justified or not). The thing that irks me most about a driver like Alonso is that everytime he is in the headlines, it's always about him. Either it's "him" who has secured the points, the team that owes him etc. With a driver like Alonso, one can sense that he will always be bigger than the team. It's what his persona (and his performances) irradiates. And I think this was one of the reasons why his relationship with Ferrari ultimately broke down. Compare this to drivers like Vettel or even Hamilton who (mostly) are all about selling the "team effort". These are all things that don't go well on ones CV, IMO.
There is a factor that may play in Alonso's favor though. Apparently, Petronas contract with Mercedes is coming to an end and with Malaysia not hosting a F1 race anymore, it may seem Petronas will be out of F1 soon. All together, I've heard that this sponsorship is worth around $60M. Then you have Santander with Ferrari who's contract apparently is coming to an end by the end of this year and has not been renewed yet. It would make sense if Mercedes is pursuing Santander as a replacement for Petronas and that may be tied to a contract with Alonso. Perhaps. This is the only reason why I could see Alonso ending up at Mercedes.
Having said that - and I just mentioned it in the McLaren topic: Alonso's Sky interview was way to positive at a too early stage (IMO) for it to be related to a Mercedes seat. If he did secure a Mercedes seat, I think Bottas would be gutted and I haven't seen any signs of that. The last that has developed on that front is that Mercedes has said it will take its time to evaluate and decide what they will do with their second seat. They are not in a hurry to decide now. Alonso is not going anywhere, except perhaps out of F1.
If anything, I could see him back at Renault. Not the best team at the moment, but certainly a team that is on the rise and he has done well there. Or I could see that perhaps McLaren has found a way out of the contract with Honda and the team looks to improve next year. But I'll say it again: Alonso is way too positive (and happy) at a too early stage for it IMO to be linked with a Mercedes race seat. I think something else is going on there (unless it has something to do with Santander, by which we might see an indication on Bottas in one week).
As for driver market. Quite frankly, I don't like Max Verstappen much, but I think the kid is the next star of new generation of F1 drivers. What he is showing so far, even against Ricciardo, is nothing short of amazing. He has the arrogance and the aggressiveness I think teams seem to love and I think once RedBull are in no position to hold on to him longer, you will see teams bending over trying to sign him. Perhaps not next year, but in a year or two (assuming that's how long he'll be secured by RedBull), he will be the perfect fit for even teams like Ferrari and Mercedes.