etusch wrote: ↑
Mon Mar 15, 2021 2:24 pm
El Scorchio wrote: ↑
Mon Mar 15, 2021 2:14 pm
Brawn is a completely different situation. That's one team finding a clever loophole in new rules to catch everyone else by surprise. Nine other teams haven't caught Mercedes by surprise with a clever loophole that only they didn't think of. If everyone else is doing it then it would have been an obvious thing that they would also have spotted and done.
The most likely explanations are:
-They simply haven't found the right setup yet.
-They are hugely sandbagging.
-There are significant upgrades to come.
-There's an inherent mismatch between their car design philosophy and the new regs (which are only on the cards due to covid/the delay to 2022 and wouldn't have been planned for) which they can't yet resolve.
It's incredibly unlikely they've just had a mare out of nowhere and built a bad car when everyone else has managed just fine. There's either an issue handcuffing what they are able to do within the new regs, or they just haven't shown everyone the full potential/package yet or had time to dial it in.
Brawn case is different but a good example and shows possibilities.
They couldn't right set up
= that is a worse car compared to previous seasons
They are hugely sandbagging
What made you use the huge word is what I am talking about. It is huge sandbagging or it is a bad car.
There are significant upgrades to come
= They stoped development of 2020 car so early and worked for this car, everyone else prepared good to this year and mercedes couldn't. So what this mean ?
There's an inherent mismatch between their car design philosophy and the new regs
Yes this can happen and mercedes can be beaten.
The set up not being optimised is zero indicator of it being a bad car. It's notably a different thing. OR knowing the conditions for testing were completely atypical of the season to come, they were working on setups for other more representative conditions which are at odds with Bahrain. It's also known to be a weak circuit for them.
Upgrades- it means they may have something good and didn't want to show it at all yet because it's not that hard to imitate. (edit- or they want to wait until everyone is locked into their token spend at the first race weekend) Time will tell. Again, the fact they apparently had extra time on this car lessens the chances that it's just 'bad'. When have they ever made a bad car under these regulations?
The mismatch is the likely thing. Again though, that's zero indication of a 'bad' car. They are totally handcuffed to their design principle of the last years and it could be that these unforeseen floor changes are exactly the thing that undoes their whole philosophy (in which case it worked, in the respect of levelling the playing field and the rulemakers finall found a way to neuter them) but it could be something that's just impossible for them to change within the current rules and timeframes.
It's also possible that they have reached the point of diminishing returns/end of the line with regard to developing this concept- again when the 2020 cars were designed, that was supposed to be the end of these regs. They may just have had nowhere else to go which is just down to the circumstances of the pandemic rather than poor plannign or execution.
At worst, they are the second best engineering team in the sport as proven over the last seven years. They will not have made a hideous mistake in design, with so few changes in car evolution from 2020 and all the previous seasons of these steady regs to fall back on. So therefore logically their design just isn't as easily compatible with the enforced changes, they had nowhere to go with development, or they haven't shown their true hand yet.