NathanOlder wrote: ↑
Thu Jul 26, 2018 12:31 pm
Manoah2u wrote: ↑
Mon Jul 23, 2018 3:16 am
Even Schumacher and Senna made costly mistakes, let's not get too ahead of ourselves now.
indeed, just curious to know your opinion,
If Lewis and Seb swapped teams for 2017 & 2018 how do you think that would have panned out last year and the standings currently this year ?
Well, the problem is i don't have a model for all the side-effects of such a scenario.
I'm sure Vettel would have done a stellar job at Mercedes. I think he might even grabbed the title with Merc.
Then again, why did Vettel miss out? Imho, due to a couple of things. First of all, don't square out his crazy driving into Hamilton @ Baku. It shows he's easily frustrated and a loose cannon. He hasn't got the same 'control' as Ham does. It cost him the race, and i think the mental after-affects for somebody with that 'fury' also puts quite a lid on things. Then there was a bunch of Ferrari tech issues, further frustrating him.
Don't get me wrong - i think Vettel is bloody fast and a fierce competitor. But, also more sensitive than Hamilton if it's not going his way.
That being said, Hamilton would not have rammed into Vettel @ Baku, and quite subsequently, i'm pretty darn sure he'd won that GP. Also, he'd had kept his head cooler and calmer, and i think that also puts him in just over a bit on Vettel, improving his chances to win. I'd say the title fight would have gone to the very last lap at the very last race with just minor points difference. I don't know who would have won though. It would have been an equally different environment so that doesn't mean a thing.
I'm lost as for this year. I'd say as a driver, Hamilton outscores Vettel, especially looking into the 'bad luck' compared to Vettel (not that he was without bad luck). And thus, i'd say Ham would be quite ahead.
All that being said though - would Ferrari fit Hamilton as good as Mercedes does? or the combo? Questions, questions, which all play their part.
If Vettel didn't go into the wall, he would have been ahead. Simple as that. I like that it's a race-after-race change. It's gonna be exciting till the end. Both Vettel and Hamilton have similar WDC's under their belt, so it's an exciting challenge. I think it would be nice to see a change though, so Ferrari winning this year has a bit my preference.
I'd like to see Alonso come aboard though and steal back the thunder and be 2019 Ferrari WDC.
And then Maxie boy in 2020.
But it's endless. What if, what if.
I think things that contribute a lot is flow. When Vettel got his 4th title with RedBull, he was on a streak. He was in a flow, on a high. Mentally that does a lot, and he was superbly strong. Hamilton is in the exact same flow right now, so it's relatively harder for Vettel compared to Hamilton. It would be interesting to see what would happen would Vettel win this WDC, as it would break hamilton's spree, even though Rosberg broke that before, i think it would hit home harder if Vettel in the Ferrari would do it, as it would affect the whole team, and would show Mercedes' superiority has ended. That wasn't the case with or immediately after Rosberg.
So i think things will keep getting more and more interesting.