GPR-A wrote:I must say, Mercedes are going for very aggressive strategy of SS-S-M, whereas Ferrari are probably planning, SS-M-M!!!
Exactly my thinking considering they did so few runs on the S and SS tires during testing. But I reckon the surface in Bahrain has much lower deg than Barcelona.
Bahrain is pretty similar to Catalunya, where they used the mediums almost exclusively.
If we think about this, and consider their performance on mediums at Austraila and their rumored power gains, my hunch is they feel they can keep pace or lead with the mediums during the first, fuel-heavy stint. If this proves to be the case, I think we'll see them run at least 40 laps or perhaps more.
In stint 2 with the reduced weight they could quite easily adopt a two-stop strategy and control the rest of the race as needed, and
provide for covering second half contingencies with the S, or in a pinch the SS.
On the other hand, I am sure they're factoring the risk of getting caught in a mid/lead pack train. If they feel that they're at risk for getting trapped like Lewis did, and need to avoid this at all costs, we could see them start on softs.
With respect to DF, if Monza is a 1 and Monaco is a 100, Bahrain is about a 55. So I wonder if they're going to continue to use barge fence or if we'll something more slippery...