Indeed, it seems to be Mercedes - Red bull - Williams/Ferrari for now.
Actually I would be very happy for Red bull to make it onto the podium or even better. They and Renault deserve a break from all what has been going on.
Ferrari seem to be in a bit of trouble. They just don't quite have the pace everyone expects of them. And now they seem to have taken off too much rear downforce. It isn't one of Seb's strong circuits either, so potentially Kimi could do better then him this weekend.