LM10 wrote: ↑
Thu May 16, 2019 10:05 pm
So, after having seen how Mercedes humiliated the rest of the field in Barcelona, is there anyone who thinks that Ferrari and/or Red Bull will be able to catch up anytime soon? I highly doubt that this will happen even next season. The simple reason is that the concept Mercedes has gone for is basically the one they've been using for many years now. No team has more experience on how to operate it perfectly and I don't see the other top teams changing their concepts to a Mercedes-esque one and suddenly be on Mercdedes-level.
Mercedes has constantly improved their car over the course of this season. There has not been any race without them putting upgrades on their car and they already have other goodies in the pipeline which certainly aren't good news for the others. There is massive potential in the car due to the regulation changes.
Good question. 2021 is a complete toss-up at this point, with so much uncertainty regarding the regulations at this point.
In terms of this season and 2020, I think Ferrari and Red Bull have to continue to push. As you hinted at, it's going to depend on Mercedes' rate of development going forward. From what Toto and other team personnel have said, it seems like Mercedes still has quite a few bits in the pipeline on both the chassis and PU side. It's rare for them to be this "bullish" on future upgrades.
They're going to continue to push hard, considering they know that any benefits from this year's development race will be carried forward into 2020 (thanks to no regulation changes next year).
As AMuS has indicated, I think Ferrari has the potential to be very competitive at places like Canada, Austria, Spa, and Monza, just by virtue of their efficient design and the lack of slow corners at these venues. I think Russia will be a tough one to predict because the track surface is so smooth there, it is very hard to get energy into the tires (similar to Melbourne and Baku).
A lot will depend on the step that Mercedes makes with their Spec 2 PU, and what their future, low-downforce specification packages will look like.